Cleveland Guardians vs. Boston Red Sox Prediction, Preview and Odds

A pair of American League the teams continue their early week series on the diamond in Beantown. THE Cleveland Goalies are on the road as they play the third game of a four-game series with the Boston Red Sox Wednesday evening. Cleveland struck first in the series, winning 6-0 on Patriots’ Day Monday morning, and followed that up with a 10-7 victory in 11 innings Tuesday night in the second game of the set. Will the Guardians continue their winning streak or can Boston add to the standings of this series with a victory before the series finale on Thursday afternoon?

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Cleveland Guardians looking for fourth straight win

Cleveland won its third straight game by outlasting the Red Sox in 11 innings Tuesday night in Game 2 of the series. The Guardians improved to 12-5 and entered Wednesday with a one-game lead over the Royals for first place in the AL Central. On Tuesday night, Cleveland got three hits from Steven Kwan (two runs) while Andres Gimenez (two runs, RBI), Gabriel Arias (two RBIs) and Tyler Freeman (two runs, RBI) each added two in a 14-hit attack. Freeman hit his second home run of the season in the victory. Tanner Bibee pitched five innings, allowing one run on five hits with two walks and three strikeouts, but sat out the decision. Emmanuel Clase (1-0) earned the win despite one run allowed (none earned) on a hit with no walks or strikeouts in just one inning of work. Scott Barlow fanned two in a 1-2-3 11th for his first stop.

Ben Lively takes to the hill for his Guardians debut as he makes his first start of the season in this competition. He spent last season with the Reds, going 4-7 with a 5.38 ERA, 1.365 WHIP, 25 walks and 79 strikeouts while allowing 20 homers in 88.2 innings in 19 appearances, 12 starts. In two minor league starts with Triple-A Columbus of the International League, Lively is 1-0 with a 3.24 ERA, 0.60 WHIP, no walks and four strikeouts in 8 ,1 work sleeves. Lively is making her third career start against the Red Sox in this contest. He is 1-0 with a 2.13 ERA, 1.263 WHIP, four walks and eight strikeouts in 12.2 innings of work against them. Lively made both of his starts against Boston at Fenway Park, leaving it 1-0 with a 2.13 ERA, 1.263 WHIP, four walks and eight whiffs in 12.2 innings there, including 5.2 shutouts last season with Cincinnati.

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The Boston Red Sox hope to change things

Boston lost the first two games of this series after being shut out on Monday and blowing a ninth-inning lead Tuesday night to fall into extra time. The Red Sox entered Wednesday 9-9 on the season and sat in the basement of the AL East, three games behind the Yankees for first place. On Tuesday night, Boston got two hits each from David Hamilton, Triston Casas (run, RBI), Connor Wong (run, three RBIs) and Enmanuel Valdez (run, RBI), but still came up short. Wong (his second), Casas (his fifth) and Valdez (his second) each homered in the contest for the Red Sox. Garrett Whitlock didn’t factor into the decision as he pitched four innings, allowing two runs on three hits with a walk and a strikeout. Josh Winckowski (1-1) took the loss by allowing three runs (two earned) on two hits with two walks and a strikeout in one inning of work.

Tanner Houck is on the slab as he makes his fourth start of the season in this competition for the Red Sox. He is 2-1 with a 2.04 ERA, 1.189 WHIP, two walks and 19 strikeouts in 17.2 innings of work this season. Houck suffered the loss in his last start, Friday at home against the Angels. He pitched five innings, allowing seven runs (four earned) on 12 hits with no walks and two strikeouts in a game the Red Sox lost 7–0. Houck makes his eighth career appearance and third start against the Guardians in this competition. He is 0-1 with one save, a 3.52 ERA, a 0.913 WHIP, four walks and 14 strikeouts in 15.1 innings of work against them. Houck is 7-14 with three saves, a 4.56 ERA, a 1.325 WHIP, 42 walks and 142 strikeouts in 134.1 innings in 37 career appearances, 23 starts, at Fenway Park .

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Best bets for this game

Full Game Side Bet

Insider Status:


Cleveland won the first two games of this series but it’s hard to have confidence in Lively, who didn’t pitch in the majors in 2020, 2021 or 2022 before resurfacing with the Reds this season. He’s in the mix with Cleveland due to injury issues such as Tommy John surgery that will cost Shane Bieber the rest of the season. The Guardians won the first two games of the set, but the fact remains that Boston’s bullpen imploded several times during Tuesday’s game. Houck was solid in his first two starts before getting mauled by the Angels in his last outing. Expect him to return to form and the Boston bats to carry the hosts to a well-deserved victory here.

Prediction: Boston Red Sox -125

Total choice of the complete game

Insider Status:


Cleveland had seen the Under 66-48-5 in their 119 games heading into Wednesday’s action. The Guardians are 5th in points per game with 5.71 per game, although that jumps to 6.27 points per game on the road. Cleveland has posted an average total of 9.18 points per game and that drops to 8.82 points per game away from Progressive Field. Boston entered Wednesday night having gone 7-5-1 in its 13 games this season. The Red Sox are 16th in the majors in runs per game with 4.39 on the season and they have an average total of 8.61 runs per game. At home, Boston is averaging just 3.63 points per game and is averaging 10.13 points per game at Fenway Park. Lean toward the minus given Houck’s first two starts and the fact that Lively had success in his limited action against Boston.

Prediction: Under 9

Written by
Chris King, “Chris King”

Chris King has been immersed in the world of professional and collegiate sports for over three decades. From playing pickup games to getting involved in organized sports to being a fan, he checked all the boxes. From NFL to arena football, NHL to KHL, NBA to WNBA to college basketball, and even MLB to KBO. If so, he covered it and bet on it too, as Chris has been an expert bettor during his career. Before joining Winners and Whiners in 2015, her work appeared online and in print. He has written books for Ruckus Books on college basketball, NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL, golf and the World Cup. If you’re looking for an idea to find a winner, do yourself a favor and read what Chris has to say.

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